Australian open starting

1st round of Australian open is just few hours away. I'm very anxious about it. The selection of matches is just huge, so the hardest thing will be to pick the ones that are worth trading. I have run through almost all the matches, read the stats and my 3 strongest picks for trades are following: (I'll of course trade more then those 3)

1.00 - Kavcic (1.91) - Ward  (2.08) - Australian open (1st round)
Kavcic starts this match as a slight favourite. He is more or less clay lover, on the other hand Ward has achieved any visible results only on hard courts and grass. Kavcic played just one match after 3rd of October and that was a worrying loss against Darcis in Chennai. Not because he lost against him, but the way he lost it. He was leading set and 5-1 in 2nd set, but managed to lose the match from that position. His confidence can't be high, he'll try to do his best thou. Ward came through qualies with wins against Minar, Cervantes-Huegnon and Sijsling, who aren't exactly top players, but he has some matches under the belt and his feel for the ball is definitely better then Slovenians.. Ward strongly depends on serve and will like to close the points soon, Kavcic serve is sometimes very shaky and definitely he's not big server + he likes to do double faults. If Ward will get his first serve around 60% or over that, he might be too hard for Kavcic to break. I believe in stronger start from Ward, who will take 1st set. After that it's about Kavcic if he'll find the feel. I think free points won from Ward should be the key to win this match. I go for Ward to win this 3-1.
Update: Kavcic won in straight sets. Ward had some chances thou, but couldn't hold his serve good enough.

5.00 Rochus (1.50)- Phau (3.00) - Australian open (1st round)
Rochus leads 3-1 in H2H matches, with Phau winning the last one, but it was 3 years ago, so it doesn't count much. Rochus had a wonderful tournament previous week in Auckland coming to finals, where he played a good match vs Ferrer, who came stronger in the end. He won against some good hard court players as Kohlschreiber, Bellucci, Kamke and Paire. His shots are well aimed, he plays aggressive and will be to much for Bjorn Phau to take it. Phau made through qualies with wins over oldie Clement (in very poor form), claycourter Crugnola and frenchmen Ruffin in 3 sets. His stats are nowhere close to brilliant and I think If Rochus will show just 50% of talent he showed in Auckland he'll be too much for Phau. Rochus to win this 3-0 or 3-1.
Update: Phau never got even close to be danger to Rochus. Rochus won 3-0.

5.00 Berlocq (1.96) - Huta Galung (2.02) - Australian open (1st round)
They start close at evens. We know what to expect from a good clay courter Berlocq. He will be better on rallies, he will struggle on serve, and may have problems if Huta Galung will take advantage and will play aggressive and will be commanding the points. But that's mainly depended on his 1st serve percentage which was from good to bad in qualifications. He played 2 very in poor players who anyone will win (Greul and Zampieri) the third one was a bit tougher vs David Guez. Berlocq could have a slower start and will need some time to adjust to game of Huta Galung but when he'll into the game, his technique will prevail and he'll outcome as a winner. I will personaly wait for HG to go ahead and then lay him on lower odds as I don't really see him winning this, but if, definitely not in 3 sets. I will go for Berlocq to win 3-2.
Update: Berlocq lost first set then he came back to win it 3-1.

Some low back picks that I believe won't have any problems at all (just odds over 1.10):
De Voest (3.30) vs Lu (1.40) - Lu to win at least 3-1. LU 3-2.
Benesova (1.25) vs Johansson (4.5) - Benesova to win 2-0. Benesova 2-0.
Pennetta (1.16) vs  Bratchikova (6.8) - Pennetta to win 2-0. Penneta lost 1-2.
Lepchenko (5.5) vs Hantuchova (1.22) - Hantuchova to win 2-0. Hantuchova 2-1.
L.Mayer (5.50) vs F.Lopez (1.22) - F.Lopez to win 3-0. Lopez 3-0.
Garrigues (1.16) vs Bernerova (6.80) - Garrigues to win 2-0. Garrigues 2-0.