31. 10. 12

Day 3 of the week

Another decent day on picks and also on trades. Low-lay has reached level 5, so a very carefull pick there. I could also choose Raonic as a low-lay or Del Potro, or even maybe Kirilenko or Wozniacki. But I think Gasquet's body is done, so hope Anderson could take the advantage with his big serves.

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET

STAKE: 32 EUR (level 5)

11.50 - Anderson - Gasquet (ATP, Paris), Lay Gasquet@1.51 (32EUR)

Anderson won first set 7-6.
Gasquet won 2nd 6-4.
Anderson won 3rd set 6-1.
Profit/Loss: +32.00 EUR


PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK
STAKE: 2 EUR (level 1)

11.50 - Dimitrov - Monaco (ATP, Paris), Back Dimitrov@2.24 (2EUR)
Monaco won first set 7-6.
Lay Monaco@1.33 (2 EUR)
Monaco won 2nd set 6-2.
Profit/Loss: -2.66 EUR

BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

14.30 - Isner - Llodra (ATP, Paris), Back Llodra@2.60 (10EUR)
Llodra won 6-4, 7-6. 
Profit/Loss: +16.00 EUR
Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 13/32 (level 1), +92.76 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 11/32 (level 2), -11.66 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 18/32 (always same level), +107.52 EUR

Overall: +188.62 EUR

30. 10. 12

Paris Masters day 2

Holy cow. What a day yesterday was... I was just losing and losing, but in the end one move good move get me back on track. Picks were so, so, Klizan should have won as he was leading 5-2 in decider... Todays picks:

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 16 EUR (level 4)

14.50 - Vinci - Hantuchova (WTA, Sofia), Lay Vinci@1.52 (16EUR)

Vinci won 1st set 6-1.
Lay Vinci@1.12 (16 EUR)
Vinci won 2nd set 6-2.
Profit/Loss: -10.24 EUR


PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK
STAKE: 4 EUR (level 2)

17.15 - Pironkova - Zheng (WTA, Sofia), Back Pironkova@1.75 (4EUR)Zheng won first set 6-2.
Lay Zheng@1.30 (4 EUR)

Pironkova won 2nd set 6-4 & 3rd set 7-6.
Profit/Loss: +8.00 EUR



BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

15.00 - Querrey - Verdasco (ATP, Paris), Back Querrey@1.65 (10EUR)
Querrey won first set 6-1 and Verdasco retired at 1-1 in 2nd set.
Profit/Loss: +6.50 EUR


Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 12/31 (level 5), +60.76 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 11/31 (level 2), -9.00 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 17/31 (always same level), +91.52 EUR

Overall: +143.28 EUR

29. 10. 12

Paris masters

Heeey. One of my favourite tournaments has started today. Not a great pack of games, but there is plenty of value all around so, I really should profit something in the end. Picks:

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 8 EUR (level 3)

12.00 - Seppi - Klizan (ATP, Paris), Lay Seppi@1.53 (8EUR)

Seppi won 1st set 6-2.
Lay Seppi@1.11 (8 EUR)
Klizan won 2nd set 6-2 and Seppi won 3rd 7-6.

Profit/Loss: -5.12 EUR

PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK
STAKE: 2 EUR (level 1)

14.00 - F. Mayer - Falla (ATP, Paris), Back Mayer@1.72 (2EUR)
Falla won 1st set 7-6.
Lay Falla@1.50 (2 EUR)
Falla won 2nd set 6-2.
Profit/Loss: -2.50 EUR


BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

13.30 - Janowicz - Kohlschreiber (ATP, Paris), Back Janowicz@2.54 (10EUR)
Janowicz won 1st 7-6 & 2nd set 6-4.
Profit/Loss: +15.40 EUR
Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 12/30 (level 4), +71.00 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 10/30 (level 2), -17.00 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 16/30 (always same level), +85.02 EUR

Overall: +139.02 EUR


27. 10. 12

Bad day again

Hello. Pretty bad day with the picks yesterday, as all 3 went wrong, without anyone going into 3rd sets. Well, those things are just part of this job. Trading went well again. Quite some matches today, as we have qualifying matches for Masters in Paris already on Betfair, so these are pretty much gold-mine for trading, but unfortunately I'm having (last of the season) a soccer game and then we have party to end the season. See you on sunday.

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET

STAKE: 4 EUR (level 2)

14.30 - Gasquet - Del Potro (ATP, Basel), Lay Del Potro@1.51 (4EUR)

Del Potro won first set 6-2.
Lay Del Potro@1.18 (4 EUR)
Del Potro won 2nd set 6-2.

Profit/Loss: -2.76 EUR


PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK
STAKE: 8 EUR (level 3)

16.00 - Becker - Kubot (ATP, Paris), Back Becker@2.20 (8EUR)
Becker won first set 6-4 & 2nd 7-6.
Profit/Loss: +9.60 EUR

BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

15.50 - Sharapova - Azarenka (WTA, Istanbul), Back Sharapova@2.80 (10EUR)
Sharapova won 6-4, 6-2.Profit/Loss: +18.00 EUR
Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 12/29 (level 3), +76.12 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 10/29 (level 1), -14.50 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 15/29 (always same level), +69.62 EUR

Overall: +131.24 EUR


26. 10. 12

QF day

Excellent day yesterday, also not bad on trading part. A bit tougher picks today, but I guess at least one should be right.


LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET

STAKE: 2 EUR (level 1)

15.40 - Almagro - Ferrer (ATP, Valencia), Lay Ferrer@1.37 (2EUR)

Ferrer won first set 6-3.LAY Ferrer@1.12 (2 EUR)
Ferrer won 2nd set 7-5.

Profit/Loss: -0.96 EUR



PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK
STAKE: 4 EUR (level 2)

18.00 - Dimitrov - Mathieu (ATP, Basel), Back Dimitrov@1.65 (4EUR)
Mathieu won first set 7-6.
LAY Mathieu@1.50 (4 EUR)

Mathieu won 2nd set 7-6.

Profit/Loss: -6.00 EUR

BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

14.00 - Gasquet - Youzhny (ATP, Basel), Back Youzhny@2.22 (10EUR)
Gasquet won first set 6-2.
LAY Gasquet@1.20 (10 EUR)
Gasquet won 2nd set 7-6.

Profit/Loss: -12.00 EUR

Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 12/28 (level 2), +78.88 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 9/28 (level 3), -24.10 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 15/28 (always same level), +51.62 EUR

Overall: +106.40 EUR



25. 10. 12

Sun after rain

Hello.

After I lost all 3 picks day before, I hit all 3 winners today, with jackpot winner on Paire. Very good day at trading too. Today we have a great number of good matches to trade, I expect high profit again.

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 2 EUR (level 1)

18.30 - Stosur - Eranni (WTA, Istanbul), Lay Stosur@1.50 (2EUR)

Errani won first set 6-3.
Stosur won 2nd set 6-2.
Errani won 3rd set 6-0.

Profit/Loss: +2.00 EUR



PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK
STAKE: 2 EUR (level 1)

17.15 - Azarenka - S. Williams (WTA, Istanbul), Back Azarenka@2.70 (2EUR)
Williams won first set 6-4eppi won first set 6-4.
LAY Williams@1.20 (2 EUR)
Williams won 2nd set 6-4.

Profit/Loss: -2.20 EUR

BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

20.00 - Querrey - Almagro (ATP, Valencia), Back Almagro@2.08 (10EUR)
Almagro won first set 6-4.

Querrey won 2nd set 7-6.
Almagro won 3rd set 6-0.
Profit/Loss: +10.80 EUR

Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 12/27 (level 1), +79.84 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 9/27 (level 1), -18.10 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 15/27 (always same level), +63.62 EUR

Overall: +125.36 EUR

24. 10. 12

Day of the retirements

 Well, bloody hell, two of my picks (and also trades) were void with potential nice profits as Tsonga (was 3-1 down in 1st set) and Tipsarevic (5-4 down in 1st) both retired before finishing 1st set. Very sad and unlucky, considering i was fucked previous week by 3 injured girls who didn't want to stop playing... As my progressive value favorite pick at level 5 (Ebden) was a winner i'll add today just low-lay bet and bet of the day.


LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 8 EUR (level 3)

14.00 - Seppi - Paire (ATP, Basel), Lay Seppi@1.45 (8EUR)

Seppi won first set 6-4.
LAY Seppi@1.15 (8 EUR)
Paire won 2nd set 6-2 and 3rd 6-3.

Profit/Loss: +16.00 EUR



BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

16.40 - Dimitrov - Benneteau (ATP, Basel), Back Dimitrov@1.96 (10EUR)
SDimitrov won first set 7-6.
Benneteau won 2nd set 7-6.Dimitrov won 3rd set 7-6.
Profit/Loss: +9.60 EUR
Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 11/26 (level 1), +77.84 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 9/26 (level 1), -15.90 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 14/26 (always same level), +52.82 EUR

Overall: +114.76 EUR

23. 10. 12

Mini catastrophy

Hi there.

It has been long since all 3 of my picks went wrong, but it was expected it will happen at some point. Trading was pretty mediocre too, so I'm hoping for a better day today. Today also starts WTA Championship in Istanbull.

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 8 EUR (level 3)

17.00 - Tsonga - Malisse (ATP, Valencia), Lay Tsonga@1.31 (8EUR)

Tsonga retired in 1st set. BETS VOID.

PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK
STAKE: 32 EUR (level 5)

14.00 - Ebden - Hanescu (ATP, Basel), Back Ebden@2.16 (32EUR)
Ebden won first set 6-3 and 2nd set 7-6.
Profit/Loss: +37.12 EUR

BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

18.20 - Simon - Tipsarevic (ATP, Valencia), Back Simon@1.96 (10EUR)
Tipsarevic retired in 1st set. BETS VOID. 
Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 10/25 (level 3), +61.84 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 9/26 (level 1), -15.90 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 13/25 (always same level), +43.22 EUR

Overall: +89.16 EUR

21. 10. 12

Basel and Valencia

Howdy. This week we are having Basel (indoor hard) with Federer as a strong favourite (he won Basel 6 times in a row) and Valencia with plenty of Spaniards to be fighting for the first place. Todays picks are here:

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 4 EUR (level 2)

14.30 - Benneteau  - Kuznetsov (ATP, Basel), Lay Benneteau@1.20 (4EUR)

Kuznetsov won first set 6-3.
Benneteau won 2nd set 6-3 and 3rd set 6-3.

Profit/Loss: -0.80 EUR

PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK

STAKE: 16 EUR (level 4)

14.00 - Kubot - Lacko (ATP, Basel), Back Lacko@1.90 (16EUR)
Kubot won 1st set 6-4.
LAY Kubot@1.30 (16 EUR)
 
Kubot won 2nd set 6-4.
Profit/Loss: -20.80 EUR
BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

19.45 - Ramos - Ram (ATP, Valencia), Back Ram@2.40 (10EUR)
Ramos won 1st set 6-3.
LAY Ramos@1.20 (10 EUR)
 
Ramos won 2nd set 6-3.
Profit/Loss: -13.00 EUR
Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 10/25 (level 3), +61.84 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 8/25 (level 5), -53.02 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 13/25 (always same level), +43.22 EUR

Overall: +52.04 EUR

20. 10. 12

No picks

Hello.

I'm taking a day off for the picks and also for trading, as I'm having guests here at my place + 1 soccer match as a coach and one as a player in the evening. And with some luck we will jump on the 1st place of the league and that calls for a beer or two. See you on sunday.

19. 10. 12

Friday

Oh my god, what a bad day at trading... I was fucked severely with 3 injured players (Halep, Jankovic, Cirstea) and lost quite big amount of my monthly profit... Here are todays picks:

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 2 EUR (level 1)

16.30 - Stosur - Zakopalova (WTA, Moscow), Lay Stosur@1.47 (2EUR)

Stosur won 1st set 6-1.
LAY Stosur@1.10 (2 EUR) 
Stosur won 2nd set 6-3.
Profit/Loss: -2.10 EUR

PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK

STAKE: 8 EUR (level 3)

13.00 - Roger-Vasselin - Karlovic (ATP, Moscow), Back Roger-Vasselin@2.40 (8EUR)
Karlovic won first set 7-6.
LAY Karlovic@1.30 (8 EUR)
Karlovic won 2nd set 6-3.

Profit/Loss: -10.40 EUR


BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

14.15 - Hradecka - Niculescu (WTA, Luxembourg), Back Niculescu@2.48Niculescu won 1st set 6-0 and 2nd set 6-4.
Profit/Loss: +14.48 EUR

Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 10/24 (level 1), +62.64 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 8/24 (level 4), -32.22 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 13/24 (always same level), +56.22 EUR

Overall: +86.64 EUR


17. 10. 12

Thursday

Well, a good day with strategy bets, but another loss day on trading, but nothing drasticall as I had plenty of green days before that. Let us just keep it easy and simple... Todays picks:

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 2 EUR (level 1)

15.20 - Pospisil - Lorenzi (ATP, Vienna), Lay Pospisil@1.40 (2EUR)

Lorenzi won 6-4, 6-4.
Profit/Loss: +2.00 EUR


PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK

STAKE: 4 EUR (level 2)

12.20 - Halep - Dolonc (WTA, Moscow), Back Halep@1.67 (4EUR)
Dolonc won first set 6-1.
Lay Dolonc@1.30 (4 EUR)
Dolonc won 2nd set 6-0.
Profit/Loss: -5.40 EUR


BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

12.15 - Sijsling - Seppi (ATP, Moscow), Back Sijsling@2.64Seppi won 1st set 7-5.
Lay Seppi@1.20 (10 EUR)

Seppi won 2nd set 6-2.Profit/Loss: -12.00 EUR

Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 10/23 (level 1), +64.74 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 8/23 (level 3), -21.82 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 12/23 (always same level), +41.74 EUR

Overall: +84.66 EUR

Here we go again

And again, and again... I'm doing more early games today, as I'm having afternoon off. Here are the picks:


LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 8 EUR (level 3)

14.50 - Lacko - Thiem (ATP, Vienna, Lay Lacko@1.23 (8EUR)

Thiem won first set 7-6 and 2nd set 6-3.
Profit/Loss: +8.00 EUR


PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK

STAKE: 2 EUR (level 1)

11.00 - Vesnina - Kirilenko (WTA,  Moscow), Back Vesnina@2.70 (2EUR)
Kirilenko won first set 7-5.
Lay Kirilenko@1.20 (2 EUR)
Kirilenko won 2nd set 6-2.


Profit/Loss: -2.20 EUR


BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

14.30 - Dushevina - Pervak (WTA, Luxembourg), Back Pervak@2.24 (10 EUR)
Pervak won 6-4, 7-6.
Profit/Loss: 12.24 EUR


Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 9/22 (level 1), +62.74 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 8/22 (level 2), -16.42 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 12/22 (always same level), +53.74 EUR

Overall: +100.06 EUR

16. 10. 12

Not a perfect start

Hi. Week hasn't started great, but trading went fine, so no problemo and also the back bet on level 4 was a nice winner. Here is what i'll play today:

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 4 EUR (level 2)

14.40 - Ramos - Berankis (ATP, Stockholm), Lay Berankis@1.53 (4EUR)

Ramos won first set 6-4.
Berankis won 2nd set 6-4 and 3rd 6-1.
Profit/Loss: -2.12 EUR
PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK

STAKE: 8 EUR (level 3)

14.00 - Brands - Bemelmans (ATP, Vienna), Back Brands@2.32 (2EUR)
Bemelmans won first set 7-6.
Lay Bemelmans@1.40 (2 EUR)
Brands won 2nd set 6-4 & 3rd set 6-3.

Profit/Loss: +4.00 EUR


BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR

11.00 - Cibulkova - Makarova (WTA, Moscow), Back Cibulkova@1.96 (10 EUR)
Makarova won first set 6-2.
Lay Makarova@1.25 (10 EUR)
Cibulkova won 2nd set 6-4
Lay Cibulkova@1.96 (10 EUR)

Cibulkova won 3rd set 6-2.
Profit/Loss: +10.00 EUR


Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 8/21 (level 3), +54.74 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 8/21 (level 1), -14.22 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 11/21 (always same level), +41.50 EUR

Overall: +82.02 EUR