Hello, hello.
I didn't kept my word to write a preview about Kyoto match. I'm sorry I simply forgot. Today 1st round of WTA Indian Wells (main draw) and 2nd rounds of qualifications matches for men will commence. Plenty of matches to choose from and hopefully we'll get some video today.
I have listed exactly 16 possible trades in my spreadsheet (6 for ATP and 10 for WTA) so it's going to be a busy evening. Matches start at 20.00 (CET).
Indian Wells (WTA, hard court)
21.30 - Riske - Jovanovski (1.65/2.18) - This looks like a very good straight bet to me, to go for Riske from the start doesn't sound risky at all. A lots of value has gone away already (Pinnacle opened RIske@1.80 now she dropped to 1.63). I completely understand this kind of drop of odds, because everything is pointing towards Riske here. Of course, this is WTA and things can change drastically, but even then, i don't give Jovanovski more then 50% of chances to win. She simply isn't there at her current form, while Riske is a player who significantly increased her play this year and I believe she'll be very motivated to show that on such a prestigues event as Indian Wells. Half stake backing Riske from the start and leaving other half in case Riske will lose 1st set. RIske in 2 or 3.
Indian Wells (ATP, hard court)
20.00 - Nava - Ouellette (1.30/3.27) - Wow, Ouellette even playing in qualifications at such a strong tournament impressed me first, but then he also won vs Jimmy Wang, what a surprise. And that win for Ouellette came after disastrous end of season in November for him (lost to some Libyan, yes, Libyan kid). I was simply shocked, it was definitely the biggest upset in 1st round of qualifications. Nava had a big surprise win as well over Devvarman (but not really shocking). 31-year old Spaniard will now probably want to insure himself some money for reaching into main draw and will do his best to win here. He doesn't need to do much, as Ouellette really shouldn't be a threat. Oullette will need another surprise win (maybe his biggest achievement in his quite long career, his so far best achivement is QF's of a CH tournament). I'm willing to take that risk and i'll back Nava from the start and lay Ouellette if he wins 1st set. Putting profit on Nava when (if) he wins the set. Nava in 2.
5. 3. 14
4. 3. 14
Indian Wells day 2
Hi.
Why did i start with Indian Wells day 2 instead of day 1? Well, it's simple... I simply don't do (trade) 1st round of qualifying matches so I left them alone on day 1. We have a nice collection of round 2 qualie matches for ladies tonight and 1st round for men. I'll trade 9 matches today (if it will come to my entry point) and I hope I'll improve a bad taste from the morning Kyoto session where Mr. Peng lost 12 games in a row in a match which I believed it should be 50%: 50% match, sigh...
Anyway, as you have maybe realised spreadsheet isn't available for free anymore. I'm giving it away for first 20 interested people (still about 5 places left) for 10 eur per month. If you were using it before and still haven't decided if you want to buy it or not, you actually still have the access, but I can see who (from non-buyers) is using it and who not, so be fair and give me some credit if you are you using it (I know who those people are anyway).
As always I'll add one match from main tournament in for the preview on blog, others can be find on spreadsheet. As we don't have ATP matches from IW I'll also add Kyoto CH match later on when they will put a schedule for tomorrow.
Indian Wells (WTA, hard court)
23.00 - Zanevska - Fichman (2.26/1.58) - In my opinion this should be at least 50%/50% so everything below 2.00 on Fichman will be a lay for me. It's true that Fichman had a decent week and is growing from month to month and becoming a better and improved player. But also Zanevska has lifted her game a lot lately and she is a player that can cause problems to top 50 players (6-4, 6-3 vs Jankovic, beat Barthel. Zhang, Lepchenko, Martic, ...) They played 2 times against each other and Zanevska won both matches, but both were on clay, so that doesn't tell us a lot. Zanevska is a better player to me, but she has a one big problem and that's the amount of double faults she makes. She'll definitely need to cut double faults below 10 and I see her winning a set here for sure. It could be a nice match to see. I'm laying FIchman from start and adding if Fichman will go break up or set up. Zanevska to win a set and probably match if she'll cut down silly errors (especially df's).
Kyoto (CH, indoor hard)
Why did i start with Indian Wells day 2 instead of day 1? Well, it's simple... I simply don't do (trade) 1st round of qualifying matches so I left them alone on day 1. We have a nice collection of round 2 qualie matches for ladies tonight and 1st round for men. I'll trade 9 matches today (if it will come to my entry point) and I hope I'll improve a bad taste from the morning Kyoto session where Mr. Peng lost 12 games in a row in a match which I believed it should be 50%: 50% match, sigh...
Anyway, as you have maybe realised spreadsheet isn't available for free anymore. I'm giving it away for first 20 interested people (still about 5 places left) for 10 eur per month. If you were using it before and still haven't decided if you want to buy it or not, you actually still have the access, but I can see who (from non-buyers) is using it and who not, so be fair and give me some credit if you are you using it (I know who those people are anyway).
As always I'll add one match from main tournament in for the preview on blog, others can be find on spreadsheet. As we don't have ATP matches from IW I'll also add Kyoto CH match later on when they will put a schedule for tomorrow.
Indian Wells (WTA, hard court)
23.00 - Zanevska - Fichman (2.26/1.58) - In my opinion this should be at least 50%/50% so everything below 2.00 on Fichman will be a lay for me. It's true that Fichman had a decent week and is growing from month to month and becoming a better and improved player. But also Zanevska has lifted her game a lot lately and she is a player that can cause problems to top 50 players (6-4, 6-3 vs Jankovic, beat Barthel. Zhang, Lepchenko, Martic, ...) They played 2 times against each other and Zanevska won both matches, but both were on clay, so that doesn't tell us a lot. Zanevska is a better player to me, but she has a one big problem and that's the amount of double faults she makes. She'll definitely need to cut double faults below 10 and I see her winning a set here for sure. It could be a nice match to see. I'm laying FIchman from start and adding if Fichman will go break up or set up. Zanevska to win a set and probably match if she'll cut down silly errors (especially df's).
Kyoto (CH, indoor hard)
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