4. 6. 12

Time is flying

Jesus christ, how is time flying... Unbelievable, I'm unemployed sod and my day breezes past like it would last 1 hour not 24 hours... Yesterday we have another old injury trick who proved succesfull. Del Potro (as Murray before him) played a dead man for a set, market believed he will retire any time, but with that gesture he just put Berdych out of the momentum and relaxed him a bit and then he destroyed him in 3rd set like a little child (double break). 4th set was suspended due to darkness and I believe that was the best thing for Berdych, as he was completely lost in the court and would be broken in the first game if they would continue. Anyway, as I have said yesterday, I'm now living at some spa-resort-medical center (very beautiful) and will be here for next 14 days. So, cheers for me, I will post you some pictures from here soon... But, back to the bussiness, here are todays picks:

PICKS:

11.00 - Almagro - Tipsarevic (ATP, Roland Garros), Almagro to win@1.53 (Double stake), Almagro 6-4, 6-4, 6-4. WIN.
13.30 - Sharapova - Zakopalova (WTA, Roland Garros), Zakopalova+7games@2.03, Sharapova 6-4, 6-7, 6-2. WIN.
15.30 - Gasquet - Murray (ATP, Roland Garros), Gasquet to win@2.50, Murray 1-6, 6-4, 6-2, 6-1. LOST.
19.00 - Kanepi - Rus (WTA, Roland Garros), Kanepi-1.5sets@1.63 (Double stake), Kanepi 6-2, 4-6, 6-0. LOST.

TRADE OF THE DAY:

15.30 - Gasquet - Murray (ATP, Roland Garros)
Preview: This will be a cracking match, I just hope Murray's health issues have resolved. They have played last match few weeks back where Gasquet won in 3 sets. Murray struggled in first round vs Nieminen and most of the people believed he will retire, but he did not, he just took a medical and then thrashed Nieminen, who was obviously with his mind already in the second round and didn't give any resistance at all. His next match was a quite easy win vs Giraldo which may look like his injury problems are over. But, anyway, we all know Murray, he will whine about pain, injuries, etc, when he will be behind or when his game won't work as he would like. Murray starts around 1.60 and I'll be laying him from the start (full-stake) as I believe if Gasquet starts stronger, Murray may again start to think about his (back) pain and would maybe want to retire... Gasquet played some incredible tennis after he lost set vs Haas, and 2nd, 3rd and 4th set it was just Gasquet on court and I believe if he will play that kind of tennis today, he has all the chances to wipe Murray out. Definitely Gasquet wants to be the one who will be dictating the game and forcing Murray to do all the running. If Gasquet will want to play long rallies, then he is about to lose in 3 sets as Murray is more consistent player. Crowd will be on Gasquet side which could be the key factor as Murray could get annoyed very fast and when he is annoyed he is below 50% of his skill.

Trade: I'll lay Murray from the start and I could add another lay if I see Murray getting first set in very tight fight. I will be greening or reding out if Murray will be very up for this match and if he will look healthy and mentally fit.

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