17. 9. 12

And the second day

Hey. Both progressive losts (one went into 3rd set) so I'm raising stakes to level 2 (4 eur).

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 4 EUR (level 2)
There were quite plenty of selections for low lay bet, I ruled some out (Voskoboeva, Kanepi, Wozniacki, Lepchenko), but others looks quite decent so the selection was hard, but in the end I have decided for German Goerges who is struggling lately and solid baseline play from her opponent Siliva Soler-Espinosa will trouble her if she will do a lots of unforced errors.

04.00 - Goerges - Soler-Espinosa WTA, Seoul), LAY Goerges@1.38 (4 EUR) 
Goerges won first set 6-1.
LAY GOERGES@1.05 (4 EUR - i was a bit late with a lay)

Soler-Espinosa won 2nd set by 7-6.
Final result: 1-6, 7-6, 6-2 for Soler-Espinosa.
Profit/Loss: +7.61 EUR

PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK

STAKE: 4 EUR (level 2)
5 matches that suited this selection, I could only rule 1 totally out (Cadantu-Garcia, which is a total who knows to me). Zakopalova looks a bit short to me at 1.70, considering her recent form, so the possible selections were Oprandi-Hampton (again) or Karatantcheva-Garrigues. I decided to take Oprandi vs Hampton, where I belive value lies in Oprandi.

05.15 - Oprandi - Hampton WTA, Seoul), BACK Oprandi@2.22 (4 EUR)
Oprandi won first set 7-5.
Hamton won 2nd and 3rd set.
Final result: Hamtpon won 5-7, 6-3, 6-2.

Profit/Loss: -4.00 EUR


BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR
This is my strongest selection for the day. I'll be backing Panova vs Cornet. Panova was quite reliable last few matches, not great, but not bad either and a true fighter. Cornet was astonishingly bad on serve vs Begu in Tashkent where she didn't won a single serve game. Odds are trully in favour of Cornet, but I don't see why.

08.00 - Cornet - Panova (WTA, Guangzhou), BACK Panova@2.54 (10 EUR)
Cornet won first set by 6-3.
Layed Cornet at 1.25 (10 EUR)
Panova retired in the start of 2nd set at 1-1.
Final result: Cornet 6-3, 1-1.

Profit/Loss: -12.50 EUR

Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 1/2 (level 1), +6.87 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 0/2 (level 3), -6.70 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 1/2 (always same level), +7.50 EUR

Overall: +9.23 EUR

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