28. 9. 12

Focused

Hi there.

Quite decent day as I hit 1 winner and two losers. Low-lay is already on level 4 tonight, progessive-back on level 2. Tommorow we have 1st round and some qualification matches for WTA Beijing, semi finals in Kuala Lumpur and Bangkok and final of Tokyo (Radwanska-Petrova). It will be quite interesting match, I'll be on TradeShark chat from 5 in the morning.

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 16 EUR (level 4)

Again there are a lot of matches that suite low-lay, but it's always hard to pick one out. Options are Radwanska (barely believable), Robson (vs Larsson) or Ivanovic vs McHale. I decided to go for lay on Ivanovic, even thou McHale was out of her form recently, but if she will be at her best she can win easily vs Ivanovic.

9.00 - Ivanovic - McHale (WTA, Beijing), LAY Ivanovic@1.40Ivanovic won first set 6-3.
LAY Gasquet@1.16 (16 EUR)
Ivanovic won 2nd set 6-2.

Final result: Ivanovic 6-3, 6-2.Profit/Loss: -9.16 EUR


PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK
STAKE: 4 EUR (level 2)
Easier to pick a favourite on good odds today, then to pick a good underdog. My eyes are mostly looking at Vecino to win over Dushevina, Navarro to beat Bacszinsky, Hercog to beat Arn, Cibulkova to beat Shvedova or Monaco to beat Nishikori. I think at least 2 if not 3 of the listed games will end as a winning ones. I'll go with a big awkward pick, but I feel strongly about it.

06.15 - Arn - Hercog (WTA, Beijing), BACK Hercog@1.69 (4 EUR)
Hercog won first set 6-3.
Arn won second set 6-4.
Hercog won 3rd set 6-3.

Final result: Ivanovic 6-3, 4-6, 6-3.Profit/Loss: +2.76

BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE

Stake: 10 EUR

Well, we hit winner at Radwanska at nice 1.90 today and also time to hit 2 in a row. I could chose some lower backs (Ciblkova or Navarro), but will go for a higher odds bet, but a reliable player.

08.15 - Monaco - Nishikori (ATP, Kuala Lumpur), BACK Monaco@2.30 (10 EUR)
Monaco won first set 6-3.

Nishikori won 2nd set 6-2.
Monaco won 3rd set 7-6.
Final result: Monaco 6-3, 2-6, 7-6.Profit/Loss: +13.00
Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 2/8 (level 5), -2.96 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 3/8 (level 1), -10.58 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 4/8 (always same level), +13.50 EUR

Overall: -0.04 EUR

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