18. 9. 12

Onwards into battle

LOW-LAY PROGRESSIVE BET
STAKE: 2 EUR (level 1)
I don't like low lay options for today. Bunch of low favourites girls, where one might (unlikely) take the set, but not to win in the end. Seppi is just out of range vs Dodig, else that could be my pick. That's why I have decided with a very low lay of Zopp at below 1.20 vs Kumantsov. It's a big question if Kumantsov can do anything, but I think he will at least fight. Everything else is on Zopp's favour and Zopp rarely tanks or chokes.

11.00 - Zopp - Kumantsov (ATP, St. Petersburg)), LAY Zopp@1.19 (2 EUR)
Zopp won first set 6-3.
LAY ZOPP@1.10 (2 EUR)

Kumantsov retired at 5-3 down in 2nd set.
Final result: 6-3, 5-3 for Zopp.
Profit/Loss: -0.58 EUR

PROGRESSIVE VALUE FAVOURITE PICK

STAKE: 8 EUR (level 3)
Already on level 3...Quite a big selection of favourites with good value, we just need to pick the right one out. My strongest options are Govortsova vs Cornet, Levine vs Stebe or Zeballos vs Bolleli. Value is also there with Kanepi, but I don't trust her yet after her long pause because of the injury. After some thoughts I'll go again against Cornet. This time her opponent is even better and (I hope) she is not injured.

10.00 - Cornet - Govortsova (WTA, Guangzhou), BACK Govorstova@1.82 (8 EUR)
Cornet won first set 6-4.
LAY CORNET@1.28 (8 EUR)

Govortsova retired.
Final result: 6-4 for Cornet.
Profit/Loss: -10.24 EUR


BET OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL VALUE
Stake: 10 EUR
I fell this game has the biggest value regarding the quality of the players. I'm going on Zeballos to win vs Bolleli.

11.00 - Zeballos - Bolleli (ATP, St. Petersburg), BACK Zeballos@2.34 (10 EUR)

Bolleli won first set 7-6.
LAY BOLLELI@1.14 (10 EUR)
Bolleli won second set 7-5.
Final result: Bolleli won 7-6, 7-5.

Profit/Loss: -11.40 EUR
Stats:
Low-lay progressive bets: 1/3 (level 2), +6.29 EUR
Progressive value favourite: 0/3 (level 4), -16.94 EUR
Bet of the day with add. value: 1/3 (always same level), -3.90 EUR

Overall: -14.55 EUR

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