19. 1. 12

3rd round part 1

Yesterday my trading started badly again as I was soon facing red on 3 matches. I needed to take some time to reduce it and made tiny profit at the end of the day. Also just 2 picks for me today:

3.00 Oprandi (2.58) - Goerges (1.61) - Australian open (round 3)
This is the second time those two will play each other. Last time Goerges won in straight sets, but it wasn't easy. Oprandi is in decent good running winning streak, winning Yakimova and Schiavone here in round 1 and 2 and battled through qualies in Hobart (winning against Wozniak, Vandeweghe and Tsurenko) then was beaten by very good Mona Barthel. Julia Goerges won in 1st round against Hercog and in 2nd round against Daniildiou who retired. It's a clear pattern in this match how it will go, Goerges will be trying to with harder shots, hitting winners, approaching net, trying to get some free points at the net, while Oprandi will be returning balls, waiting for her chance and more likely, waiting for Goerges to lose concentration and start hitting misguided balls. It will be a very tight match, where I see Oprandi can get the first set, then Goerges to come back in 2nd and the 3rd... Well, that's a big question, but I'll go with Oprandi to win 2-1, maybe even 2-0 if Goerges will not be able to recover.

5.00 Isner (1.85) - F.Lopez (2.16) - Australian open (3rd round)
Isners odds are very temptating to take from the start, since they are so high because Isner had some cramp problems at the end of 5th set vs Nalbandian, but he had 2 days to rest, so if it was just fatigue, he is clearly over it. Isners main weapon is of course serve and weapon is sound and ready as he has hit 43 aces vs Nalbandian. Everyone knows Isner is not a good mover, which may be concern because Lopez will move him around a lot, but he can and he should attack slower 2nd serve from Lopez. Lopez is left-hander, his first serve is strong, but he can be very shaky on 2nd serve as he tends to do many DF's. That's my concern, because Lopez was giving away BP to Mayer and to Cipolla like he was charity and he can't certainly not afford to be broken several times as he was in round 1 and round 2. Lopez thou may win a set, but in the end if Isner won't have any health problems, he will go through with 3-1 or 3-0.

No low backs today, since a lot of games will be tight when we have a clear winner if look at odds.

Ni komentarjev:

Objavite komentar