A bit more relaxed day coming

Hello.

A bit more relaxed and less stressful (i hope) day is upon us. Still a lots of matches but nowhere near yesterday. I feel good day us upon us. Here are my thoughts on main events:

Dubai (ATP, hard)

16.00 - Djokovic - Youzhny (1.04/11.53) - I see no way Youzhny is winning this. Djokovic really on fire and hungry for a trophy after AO fail. Starting odds are rubbish and i'm going on Djokovic with full-stake if he can somehow get behind a break or even set. I don't see Youzhny capable of winning this match. Djokovic in 2.

Florianopolis (WTA, hard)

22.00 - Uytvanck - Muguruza (3.42/1.30) - Uytvanck is on fire this week, reaching QF's from qualifications. Muguruza on the other hand is a heavy hitter with hit or miss game. I believe she has started to sort out her shots better from match to match and may be too much for Uytvanck to handle today. Muguruza is a player who press hard on weak serves and Uytvanck will need to have a lots of 1st serves in to stay in the match. I see nice value in laying Muguruza break up or set up (low odds 1.15?) because she can quickly miss shot or two and break back is here. 3-sets.

Sao Paolo (ATP, indoor clay)

18.30 - Lorenzi - Dutra Silva (1.55/2.41) - Lorenzi played great match vs Riba (or was Riba bad?) and Dutra is just trying hard and fighting for every point to come where he is now. Lorenzi should win this comfortably but i'm not taking starting odds. Even thou I don't really believe Dutra can go break up i'll be waiting for that, else I'm not entering. So, back Lorenzi at around evens (break down) or even better lay Dutra set up. Lorenzi in 2 or 3.

Acapulco (ATP, hard)

23.00 - Karlovic - Dolgopolov (2.38/1.56) - Dolgopolov has not really been tested enough this week. He played rusty (and probably still injured) Pospisil and injured or ill Chardy. Both wins looked very easy. Karlovic's serve was tested already here and it's good. Dolgopolov will not find it easy to break Karlovic and if Karlovic will see a little struggle from Dolgopolov on serves he'll take his chances. I'm laying DOlgopolov from the start and exiting with 1/10 after every hold from Karlovic as odds will be moving towards evens closer the tie-break will be. I'll repeat that procedure in 2nd set if Dolgopolov will win 1st set. 3-sets, tie-breaks.

Acapulco (WTA, hard)

2.00 - Garcia - Bouchard (5.15/1.15) - Bouchard is again overrated (in odds) vs her opponent. She proved us in last 2 matches that it's ok that she's favorite, but I believe this is too low. Garcia had 2 good wins and will give some resistance to Bouchard. I'm laying Bouchard set up, because odds will be just too low to not take. Getting a free-bet on Garcia shouldn't be a problem. Possible that Bouchard drops a set when she relaxes after 1st set.