Going to Zagreb

Hello.

Just a short post from me today. I'll not be trading today or tommorow (don't expect a blog post tommorow either). I'll do 4 trade previews for my readers anyway. Yesterday was ok day from a trading view, but big let down for straight bets. Expect new post for the new week's tournaments. We'll have a big event in Doha for girls, while ATP caravan will be moving to Rotterdam (big indoor tournament), Buenos Aires (clay) and small USA tournament in Memphis. If Betfair will provide also CH level tournaments again we'll have also 4 HC tournaments (Kolkata, Quimper, Bergamo and Istanbul). It'll be a very tough week, so 2 days of break will do me fine.

Zagreb (indoor hard)

12.00 - Sela - Phau (1.43/2.76) - Odds are really too low here for Sela. Lay from the start on Sela is in order and if Phau will hold together in early games you could take 20-30 ticks for sure and use that in case Sela wins 1st set and relay with that profit for a possible nice profit in Phau gets to 1-1. I'm slightly favoring Sela, but I see a very tight match and a 3-setter.

14.30 - Cilic - Dodig (1.53/2.45) - Two Croatian big boys collide in QF event today. Cilic looks very tight on receiving side and he wasn't getting a lots of chances vs inferior players (Lajovic, Delic). I don't see he'll get many chances vs Dodig as well, so I would go for a lay (half-stake) from the start and hedge out before the tb or if Dodig has a chance for going break up. 3-setter with tie-breaks to be played.

Montpellier (indoor hard)

12.30 - Gicquel - Nieminen (1.48/2.59) - Don't get fooled by H2H matches as last match was 4 years back. Gicquel is enjoying this tournament, he plays solid and his serve is ok. I feel he'll be much more motivated then fatigued Nieminen who'll probably give more chances for himself in doubles match with his new partner Kokkinen. This must be lay from the start as I'm giving Gicquel better chances to a win and odds will revert quickly if Gicquel gets a break up, so you don't want to miss the swing. Lay start with option to relay if Nieminen gets in front in 1st set. And also lay in 2nd set if Jarkko wins. Gicquel in 2 or 3.

14.00 - Monfils - Istomin (1.36/3.07) - It's a bit hard to go against so playful Monfils at the moment. But big value is laying him break up or set up as the prices will be really low and the match will be far from over. I see Istomin taking at least a set and he'll make this match very difficult for Mr. Monfils. Lay Monfils break or set up.

Straight bets:
Kohlscheiber@1.22, lost -1.00
Haas@1.26, won +0.26
Gicquel@2.84, lost -1.00
TOTAL: -1.74

That's all for me today, next post in 2 days. Enjoy your weekend.