18. 2. 14

Some worries

Hello.

My straight bet predictions are having a very bad days and I'm surely not very pleased about that. It's always a new day and better days are about to come.

On trade previews I'll have again 4 main tournaments previews:

Marseille (ATP, indoor hard)

11.00 - Davydenko - Sijsling (2.18/1.65) - Sijsling will run out of energy and will give this win to Davydenko. Davydenko actually didn't played bad vs Benneteau but then he had a funny match vs Olivetti where he wasn't able to hold at crucial moments. I feel Sijsling will not be anywhere near as focused as he was in Rotterdam and will rather have a rest to be well prepared for Dubai. I'll start with a lay of Sijsling from the start and it'll be clear very fast how prepared Sijsling is for this match. In case we we'll have tough battle and Sijsling wins 1st set i'll lay him again. Davydenko to win.

Dubai (WTA, hard court)

11.00 Cornet - Halep (4.12/1.22) - Halep just recently won a tournament in Doha and she admitted that she had some ankle problems. I would say doctors will advise her to take it easy now, plus she has money plenty of money so why not take a rest in lovely Dubai? Cornet plays like very annoying match, she just never quits. I matter of tennis, Halep is absolutely better, but I have concerns that she'll not play at her best today and will let Cornet win this one. Even retirement will not surprise me. I'm going for a low lay on Halep and staying in. Cornet in 2.

Rio de Janeiro (WTA, clay)

14.00 - Strycova - Pfizenmaier (1.68/2.12) - I rate Pfizenmaier as a slight favorite here as she already played in SA clay courts this year and come to QF. STrycova is also solid on clay, but her aggressive game is more suited to faster courts. Pfizenmaier can produce big shots and will have better timing on slow courts and Strycova's attacks to the net will be more punished as she'll not be so dominant on serve. Of course Strycova is a mental nut so that might as well help Pfizenmaier. I'll personally hope for a break of Strycova early in 1st set then a comeback from Pfizenmaier in 1st or 2nd set. Pfizenmaier in 2 or 3.

Rio De Janeiro (ATP, clay)

16.00 - Almagro - Dolgopolov (1.26/3.75) - Huuh, terribly low odds on Nicolas Almagro who played 2 consecutive semi finals on clay. Dolgopolov is trying hard as well, but he was the unlucky one so far. He has the game to stay with Almagro and I don't see it easy for Almagro tonight. Dolgopolov will surely be highly motivated for this and will want to get some revenge over Almagro. Even thou the odds are excellent to lay from the start I'll wait for Almagro break up and then i'll lay and probably stay in for the entire match. I see Dolgopolov winning a set and if it comes to 1-1 in sets everything can happen so I'm with Dolgo to win the match.

Delray Beach (ATP, hard)

20.30 -Haas - Odesnik (1.26/3.76) - Haas is a defending semi finalist here in Delray and he likes USA hard court tournaments. Even thou this is a small event he is doing quite ok  here. Odesnik played a lots of matches recently with quite a high win rate, but all of his opponents were way above 100th place. I believe top 15 with motivation will be too much for Odesnik. Good starting odds, I'm going to take half-stake back on Haas from start and add half if Odesnik gets a break. Haas in 2.

Straight bets:
Pfizenmaier@2.29, won 1.29
Kerber@1.90, lost -1.00
Makarova@12.46, lost -1.00
Kamke@1.29, won 0.29
Vasselin@1.22, won 0.22
Davydenko@2.23, won 1.23
Machado@2.93, lost -1.00
Rola@1.78, won 0.78
Myneni@1.76, lost -1.00
Velotti@2.24, lost -1.00
Kudryavtsev@1.18, won 0.18
Viola@1.32, won 0.32
Stakhovsky@1.94, won 0.94
Chardy@6.94, lost -1.00
Reister@3.05, lost -1.00
Bedene@4.65, lost -1.00

TOTAL: -2.75

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